| 000 | 02386cam a22003497i 4500 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| 001 | 23695837 | ||
| 003 | OSt | ||
| 005 | 20251117100734.0 | ||
| 008 | 240516t20242024nyua e b 001 0 eng d | ||
| 010 | _a 2024401354 | ||
| 020 | _a9781399604055 (Pbk) | ||
| 035 | _a23695837 | ||
| 035 | _a(OCoLC)1432351184 | ||
| 040 |
_aUTW _beng _erda _cIISERB |
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| 042 | _alccopycat | ||
| 050 | 0 | 0 |
_aQA279.5 _b.C575 2024 |
| 082 | 0 | 4 |
_a519.542 C449E _223 |
| 100 | 1 |
_aChivers, Tom. _933580 |
|
| 245 | 1 | 0 |
_aEverything is predictable : _bhow Bayesian statistics explain our world / _cTom Chivers. |
| 260 |
_aLondon: _bWeidenfeld & Nicolson, _c2024. |
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| 300 |
_axxix, 303 pages : _billustrations (black and white) ; _c24 cm |
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| 504 | _aIncludes bibliographical references and index. | ||
| 505 | 0 | _aIntroduction: a theory of not quite everything -- From The Book of Common Prayer to the full Monte Carlo -- Bayes in science -- Bayesian decision theory -- Bayes in the world -- The Bayesian brain -- Bayesian life -- Acknowledgments -- Notes -- Index. | |
| 520 | _a"At its simplest, Bayes's theorem describes the probability of an event, based on prior knowledge of conditions that might be related to the event. But in Everything Is Predictable, Tom Chivers lays out how it affects every aspect of our lives. He explains why highly accurate screening tests can lead to false positives and how a failure to account for it in court has put innocent people in jail. But its influence goes far beyond practical applications. A cornerstone in rational thought, Bayesian principles are used in modeling and forecasting....And many argue that Bayes' theorem is not just a useful tool, but a description of almost anything -- that it is the underlying architecture of rationality...Fusing biography, razor-sharp science writing, and intellectual history, Everything is Predictable is an entertaining tour of Bayes' theorem and its impact on modern life, showing how a single compelling idea can have far-reaching consequences" -- Book jacket. | ||
| 650 | 0 |
_aBayesian statistical decision theory. _933581 |
|
| 650 | 0 |
_aMathematical statistics. _933582 |
|
| 650 | 0 |
_aProbabilities. _933583 |
|
| 650 | 0 |
_aForecasting. _933584 |
|
| 906 |
_a7 _bcbc _ccopycat _d2 _encip _f20 _gy-gencatlg |
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| 942 |
_2ddc _cBK |
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| 999 |
_c11235 _d11235 |
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